Blog Archives

An inside look: Autopsy of a blown Southern California coast wind forecast.

The gory details. by Mike Godsey, mikeATiwindsurf.com I know it sometimes looks like we ignore occasions when we totally blow forecasts. But actually we are acutely aware of our errors and when the mistakes are really big we work together to figure out

Posted in Los Angeles

Catalina Eddy brewing

by Meteorologist Kerry Anderson Today we have been watching as a Catalina Eddy has developed.  This morning we had hints that there was some circulation brewing just off Catalina.  The conditions are right with moderately strong Northwesterly winds being pushed

Posted in Los Angeles, San Diego

Excuses, excuses….

Fog induced local sea breezes defy forecasting. by Mike Godsey, mikeATiwindsurf.com There is one pattern for which models and all empirical data can not begin to forecast. Like I said in today’s forecast if the fog buries the coast then

Posted in Los Angeles, San Diego

The Thursday Waddell forecast: bust or boom…

The sensor reading says the winds ramped up to a useful range. But… by Mike Godsey, mike (at) iwindsurf.com Update 7AM Friday: Feedback was that the Waddell forecast for late winds was spot on! Whew! If you look at the

Posted in Columbia River Gorge, Los Angeles, San Diego, San Francisco

The “small picture” suggests days of ripping NW wind. But…

The “BIG picture” suggests, not! by Mike Godsey, mike@iwindsurf.com Funny, forecasting is a lot like growing up. As a kid you can only focus on the obvious. As you mature your world expands. When I first started forecasting I looked

Posted in Los Angeles, San Diego, San Francisco

Praying for a bad forecast since…

We need the Waddell winds to RIP! by Mike Godsey, mike at iwindsurf.com I am hoping this turns out to be one of my worst forecasts ever and the winds RIP the entire contest time. But… As forecast the North

Posted in Columbia River Gorge, Los Angeles, San Diego, San Francisco

Exiting upper trough stirs up NW wind at the surface.

NW winds from the NPH…NOT! by Mike Godsey, mike@iwindsurf.com Yes, the wind felt like normal NW wind curving into Southern California and the bay today May 15. However the North Pacific High’s surface NW winds are nowhere to be found in

Posted in Los Angeles, San Diego, San Francisco

Upper trough at ≈ 18,000 ft.

Shoves the North Pacific High over 1000 miles west of California by Mike Godsey, mike@iwindsurf.com

Posted in Los Angeles, San Diego, San Francisco

Eddies in the Bight and Big Winds for Isabella and San Diego

by Kerry Anderson & Mike Godsey Anyone who says the weather is boring in Southern California isn’t trying to forecast the winds this afternoon. The WindAlert Plus model below shows the strong winds we forecast for the NW coastline and

Posted in Los Angeles, San Diego

NW winds roaring at the ocean buoys…

Here is how we coax NW wind into the Bay. by Mike Godsey, It was a day much like today wind wise. There I was 22 years old slowly slogging out the Golden Gate Hawaii bound on a sloop only 2

Posted in Los Angeles, San Diego, San Francisco