Click on the movie link below for a voice guided movie of the Golden Gate Gaviota eddy dying early so you can see in the marine layer clouds why Waddell and Coyote and 3rd. Ave. had better winds than forecast. ggEddyDIes2
Every time I check on our forecasts over this last month the Outer Banks have been going off. This is not what I’ve been used to seeing these last few years and reminds me of the “good old days” when we used to see day after day after day of strong south and SW…
Doing today’s forecast, we favored Sandy Hook due to clearing over NYC and the potential for a sea breeze draw. I just had to capture this image though because there is a sensor on the USCG station at the end of Sandy Hook and several other government and “other” sensors in the area but none…
This blog is meant to highlight a scenario where a early AM land breeze was not forecasted by the majority of model guidance nor by the human forecaster. We will examine the synoptic and mesoscale features for the area, during the period leading up to the land breeze event in order to determine if there…
This snapshot of wind observations combined with a radar image of storms moving through NJ from W to E is a good example of a gust front / outflow boundary increasing our wind speeds out ahead of approaching storms. A gust front / outflow boundary is simply a storm scale mass of cold / cool…
What a tough call today for the MA North coast. We had a prevailing WNW flow much of the day and no model really showed consistency on the amount of flow aloft. Our questions in these kinds of days are along the lines of how deep will the mixing occur to keep the NW…
Using this loop over inter-tropical convergence zone – I’ve been watching a low level circ for the last day or so, and now it has become an area of interest. http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/mimic-tpw/natl/anim/latest72hrs.gif With strong Bermuda High remaining in control over Atlantic, this could be a system worth watching over the next few days. Very low chance…
Marine surges are only suppose to last 2 possibly 2.5 days. This one is on its 4th day. Part of the answer is in the blog link below. But today marine surge winds at Sherman Island are being sustained in part by an eddy well west of the Golden Gate. Take a look satellite video…
Goooooood morning Rio Vista!!! After 4 days of Ben and I issuing marine surge alerts for Sunday I pulled the final trigger Saturday night: Forecast 7PM Saturday: “Marine Surge Alert! Sherman will absolutely RAGE all day tomorrow.” These images below, really layout the basic anatomy of a marine surge. 10 years ago marine surges always caught us…