by Mike Godsey, mikeATiwindsurf.com If the cloud band you see in this animation keep moving towards La Ventana it could spoil winds today. All models have the clouds only reaching near La Paz today but watching the satellite imagery it looks to me that they might get further south. So watch the skies to the north and…
by Mike Godsey, mikeATiwindsurf.com Sometimes you will notice a caveat in the forecast that a band of high clouds streaming from SW or WSW may come over us and spoil the wind but stopping the inland valleys from heating weakening the local pressure gradient. Usually when I mention clouds I am talking about low-level clouds…
by Mike Godsey, mikeATiwindsurf.com With a bit of luck and a Cut-Off Low that behaves according to the models we see a 3-5 day El Norte blow for La Ventana and Los Barriles, Baja Sur. This graphic for Saturday Nov. 30, 2019, shows the setup. 1. First, notice the huge storm over the mid-USA. This…
by Mike Godsey, mike@iwindsurf.com After having a near miss from a tropical storm and receiving heavy rain Baja’s East Cape is now in a wind drought. But this model animation suggests that the low pressure over the western USA will depart eastward later this week and El Norte winds build. Watching the animation first find…
by Mike Godsey, mikeATiwindsurf.com The National Hurricane Center has upgraded the approaching low pressure storm to a Tropical Storm named Raynond. Below is an animation of ECMWF model of the storm’s trajectory as well is a summary of all the latest model forecasts for trajectory and wind velocity. Note that there…
by Mike Godsey, mike@iwindsurf.com Since I wrote this blog yesterday all the models have agreed that the storm is likely to impact Baja’s East Cape. Ever wondered why do you see really vague forecasts like this Baja Forecast today? “Some models have is just wobbling around south of Los Cabos and dying. But the ECMWF…
by Mike Godsey, mikeATiwindsurf.com Here is yesterday’s blog about this storm This blog tells why the storm forecast was so iffy earlier in the week This animation show todays imagery of the storm at dawn Thursday, Nov. 14, 2019. As you can see there is a hint of it developing a circular rotation but…
by Mike Godsey, mikeATiwindsurf.com If you were flying several hundred miles south of Los Cabos this morning your view would look much like my photo above. There is a CHANCE this tropical depression 93E.INVEST, currently several hundred miles SSW of Baja will lunge towards Baja’s East Cape on the weekend. If this happens we could…
by Mike Godsey, mike@iwindsurf.com The last few days have seen barely a trace of El Norte winds over the Sea of Cortez. But El Sargento, La Ventana and to a lesser extent still can see mild local sea breezes if there is enough blue sky to heat the inland valleys. Unfortunately, yesterday Nov. 13 saw…
by Mike Godsey, mikeATiwindsurf.com At the end of last season Ben installed a new sensor at Ventana Windsports. We did this because the old sensor at Baja Joe’s is sometimes in a partial wind shadow. Longtime Weatherflow customer John S. has installed a sensor on the Campground beach that covers that area nicely. In recent…