by Mike Godsey, mikeATiwindsurf.com I think the daily wind forecast and the wind graphs below from Tuesday, Dec. 17 capture the wind quality in the late morning and early afternoon pretty well. BUT… if you ventured about 1/2 mile outside at La Ventana you got away from the shifty up and down N to WNW…
by Mike Godsey, mikeATiwindsurf.com Many years ago I spent 3 months per year doing underwater research on Pomacentrids around the islands of the Sea of Cortez. One thing that always struck me was how incredibly fast the weather could go from calm to strong winds. The next 24 hours will brings such a change as…
by Mike Godsey, mikeATiwindsurf.com Take at this Baja California forecast valid for Thu, Dec 12 2019 Once again our ikitesurf.com sensor network and the ASCAT satellite imagery show continued El Norte winds coming down the Sea of Cortez. Unlike a typical El Norte these winds are from 3 sources: 1. NNE winds from the North…
by Mike Godsey, mikeATiwindsurf.com If the cloud band you see in this animation keep moving towards La Ventana it could spoil winds today. All models have the clouds only reaching near La Paz today but watching the satellite imagery it looks to me that they might get further south. So watch the skies to the north and…
by Mike Godsey, mikeATiwindsurf.com Sometimes you will notice a caveat in the forecast that a band of high clouds streaming from SW or WSW may come over us and spoil the wind but stopping the inland valleys from heating weakening the local pressure gradient. Usually when I mention clouds I am talking about low-level clouds…
by Mike Godsey, mikeATiwindsurf.com With a bit of luck and a Cut-Off Low that behaves according to the models we see a 3-5 day El Norte blow for La Ventana and Los Barriles, Baja Sur. This graphic for Saturday Nov. 30, 2019, shows the setup. 1. First, notice the huge storm over the mid-USA. This…
by Mike Godsey, mike@iwindsurf.com After having a near miss from a tropical storm and receiving heavy rain Baja’s East Cape is now in a wind drought. But this model animation suggests that the low pressure over the western USA will depart eastward later this week and El Norte winds build. Watching the animation first find…
by Mike Godsey, mikeATiwindsurf.com The National Hurricane Center has upgraded the approaching low pressure storm to a Tropical Storm named Raynond. Below is an animation of ECMWF model of the storm’s trajectory as well is a summary of all the latest model forecasts for trajectory and wind velocity. Note that there…
by Mike Godsey, mike@iwindsurf.com Since I wrote this blog yesterday all the models have agreed that the storm is likely to impact Baja’s East Cape. Ever wondered why do you see really vague forecasts like this Baja Forecast today? “Some models have is just wobbling around south of Los Cabos and dying. But the ECMWF…
by Mike Godsey, mikeATiwindsurf.com Here is yesterday’s blog about this storm This blog tells why the storm forecast was so iffy earlier in the week This animation show todays imagery of the storm at dawn Thursday, Nov. 14, 2019. As you can see there is a hint of it developing a circular rotation but…