Category: Northeast Florida

El Niño weakening. What does this mean for the SE/East Coast for winds?

by WeatherFlow meteorologist Shea Gibson Oceanic Niño Index (ONI) values suggest that El Nino region 3.4 is cooling. Current anomalic value is at +2.076, which means that El Nino is now showing signs of weakening as Sea Surface Temps there have fallen the lowest since August 2015. The prediction is for SST’s continuing to fall, with Neutral phasing…

Read More

El Niño Wind Prediction for the US East Coast.

By WeatherFlow meteorologist Shea Gibson. What is El Niño and how will it affect our East Coast wind pattern? El Niño is basically the warming of the equatorial Pacific. Specifically for the effects it causes us in the United States, it’s the warming of water surface temps above normal along the eastern Equatorial Pacific. The higher sea surface…

Read More

Joaquin continues to surprise.

‬ By WeatherFlow meteorologist Shea Gibson. Joaquin is now a hurricane and could very well become a major hurricane in the next day or so.  As of 8am this morning on September 30, 2015, winds are up to 75mph and pressure down to 970mb’s. Movement SW at 6mph towards the Bahamas. Models currently still trend westwards…

Read More

The Journey of Joaquin

By WeatherFlow meteorologist Shea Gibson Mixed bag of …..man what a mess. Joaquin expected to meander a couple or 3 days then make a move while slowly strengthening. NHC still betting on the West over to North turn. Could slide SW and strengthen near the Bahamas for a good tan and a fresh Mojito…then get…

Read More

Hurricane history in the making.

Unusual hurricane pattens in Hawaiian and Cabo Verde Islands. Take a look at the animation below of the 4 hurricanes currently transiting Hawaiian waters south of the North Pacific High. Never in recorded history has there been 4 hurricanes at the same time in these waters. Meteorologically speaking having 4 hurricanes at the same time…

Read More

SAL-ty Atlantic: The Saharan Air Layer Part III

by WeatherFlow meteorologist Shea Gibson. As a quick recap, The Intertropical Convergence Zone where tropical storms form, or the “ITCZ”,  is heavily impacted by the Saharan Air Layer (or “SAL”), which is a dust layer off the western African coast along the lower and mid levels of the atmosphere. This dry, dusty more stable air rides just over the…

Read More

SAL-ty Atlantic: The Saharan Air Layer Part II

by WeatherFlow meteorologist Shea Gibson For SAL-ty Atlantic Part I of this series, please see: http://blog.weatherflow.com/sal-ty-atlantic-the-saharan-air-layer/ For SAL-ty Atlantic Part III of this series, please see: http://blog.weatherflow.com/sal-ty-atlantic-part-iii/ So far, the Atlantic Season has seen two named storms: CAT 2 Hurricane Arthur –  which formed off the SE coast and made landfall over coastal NC… and Hurricane Bertha,…

Read More

Baja Guide

Baja Guide Links Daily Human Forecast Home  | Why Baja blows | Feedback: Baja forecast | | Road Rules |  Driving Down | Where to go. | | Food & Water | Camping| Resorts | Money, insurance, pets | Hurricane Diary | Windless days | East Cape driving maps | Fish/Surf | Baja photos | Driving down Baja this season? Be sure to see all the updates with close up maps and places to stay. Use the Driving Down link. A Baja trip is not just…

Read More

Fluky Conditions in VA

Just caught a good example in the VA area of conditions that reflect two of my staple bullet points in synoptic setups such as the one we are seeing today.  (*Heads up for fluky conditions / shifty directions as each synoptic feature changes position / gains and or loses influence) and (*Showers and or thunderstorms…

Read More

Prefrontal Troughing the Scourge of the Wind Junkie

So you may be thinking to yourself…  There’s a cold front approaching our area from the W, so I just might get a session in today.  Well, in an ideal approaching cold front setup with a strong well positioned center of low pressure associated with the boundary and a strong high pressure out in the…

Read More