I put out a marine surge alert this morning and at 11:47.
Now at 5 PM it is clear I was right about the marine surge arriviing tomorrow.
If it continued that march it, and its powerful foggy winds would arrive this afternoon.
But I expect the surge to pause for a while today at Monterey as it curves and fills up the hot Salinas Valley.
Then it should pause again to set up a Monterey Eddy late this afternoon.
Then overnight it will zoom up the coast with a brief pause to fill up the Hwy. 92 gap.
Then it blasts up and through the Golden Gate…. according to my meteorological reasoning.
If I am wrong it will arrive late this afternoon.
Here is my forecast for tomorrow
Fri, Jun 19 2020
The thermal trough over the coast develops into a rea low-pressure area extending from Sacramento to about 50 miles west of the Golden Gate and about 3000 feet vertically in the AM.
This and NNW ocean winds create a large counter-clockwise spinning air mass and southerly coast winds from Big Sur to past Bodega creating an atypical marine surge.
It now appears that this low pressure/eddy never fades which would make for very strong SSW winds in the mid Golden Gate to Larkspur to Brickyards/Peacock Gap to Davis Pt. zone. A bit weaker winds for Shimada Park. Rest of the Bay is largely bypassed.
Bodega and Waddell SW/WNW sub-teens. Crissy north tower SSW low to mid 20’s, TI Point Blunt upper-teens to low 20’s. 3rd Ave weak SW. Pt. Isabel upper-teens to 20 and much stronger towards Shimada Park & Berkeley upper teens. Alameda mid-teens. Sherman PM upper-teens to 20 late afternoon.