When you look at a model forecast one key thing to look for is the resolution. For an overall idea about the wind and weather for a large region a 9km or 5 km resolution model like you see on the amazing windy.com site is great. It is also excellent for extended forecasts. But when…
I am not forecasting today but there should be interesting winds. Cool dry strong El Norte winds to our north weaken in our area. But they may interact with moist warm southerly winds 9000 feet aloft. This happens as we begin a transition to southerly Sea of Cortez winds Saturday due to the Cut Off…
Limp winds today but tomorow “Small Dog Warning” winds for dawn as we see a Blast from the Past. Bottom Line: Possibly weak NE foil range winds with some strong N. gusts in the mountains. If you are camping, you best secure gear and small dogs in preparation for blasty predawn winds tomorrow especially near El…
So far the Baja 2024-25 winter wind season has been a great one with moderate winds almost every day. But one expected factor in the large scale wind recipe has been missing. Yes, the expected La Niña has been missing from the pacific weather patterns. Meteorologists have been expecting La Niña for months but in the…
Today’s wind recipe: 1. Thin high clouds from the Sub Tropical Jet Stream are over us today. I think they are thin enough and they partially miss Baja’s East Cape so they are probably not be an issue. 2. The USA high-pressure that created yesterday gusty winds is moving towards Idaho so the Sea of…
Some new ingredients for todays wind recipe: 1. 1000 miles due west of La Ventana an upper Cut Off Low is creating a surface low-pressure which helps draw early wind right to our beaches. 2. High-pressure near the 4-Corners region fans the Southern California Santa Ana fire winds while sending El Norte winds down the…
Note: This autopsy imagery covers the impact of low-pressure over the Sea of Cortez on Baja’s East Cape winds. Tragically, that same low-pressure helped created massive Santa Ana winds in Southern California creating nightmare fire conditions. That event will be covered in an upcoming blog. Here is the text part of my wind forecast for…
Bottom Line: The models are all over the place regarding wind velocity but all agree on an unfavorable WSW wind direction. This means our wind will be coming over the mountains which causes the wind to ripple and reach the surface randomly. Don’t launch during a brief windy period since you could be stranded in wind…
Note: Despite the AM glassy waters use caution fishing and kayaking near arroyos since there is a chance of random strong WEST wind blasts. Bottom Line: Sub to maybe low-teens near arroyos as strong westerly wind hitting the mountain tops sometimes comes down the arroyos where it disrupts the weak E to ENE surface winds. Today’s Wind…
Today’s Wind Recipe: 1. A chilly upper trough at ≈ 18,000 feet aloft drops over the 4-Corners region destroying the El Norte wind producing 4-Corners region high-pressure. 2. Killer creates a surface low-pressure at the north end of the Sea of Cortez spoiling the wind for that north half of the sea. 3. Low-pressure south…